If your morning coffee feels pricier these days, you’re not imagining things.

The beloved daily ritual is under threat from two powerful forces: climate change and tariffs. Together, they’re turning coffee into a luxury for many Americans-and the pain is being felt from farm to café.

Extreme weather has battered the world’s top coffee producers. Droughts in Brazil and Vietnam, the globe’s largest growers, have slashed harvests and sent bean prices soaring. “Unfortunately, coffee is going to become more scarce,” says Reneé Colón, founder of Fuego Coffee Roasters. “Seeing that dramatic loss of the Brazilian crop is a perfect example”. Over the last year alone, the price of coffee beans has doubled, with specialty beans fetching even higher premiums.

But climate isn’t the only culprit. New U.S. tariffs are pouring salt in the wound. As of April, a 10% tariff now applies to nearly all imported coffee, and higher rates threaten beans from key suppliers like Vietnam and Brazil. Since 99% of the coffee Americans drink is imported, these tariffs hit almost every cup. Roasters and coffee shops, already squeezed by rising costs, are passing price hikes on to consumers. “That erases our entire profit margin if we absorb it,” said Chris Kornman of Royal Coffee, who called the situation “an unprecedented crisis”.

The impact is rippling through the supply chain. Importers absorb some of the tariff costs, but most are passed to roasters, who then raise wholesale rates. By the time your coffee reaches the café, a 10% tariff can translate to a 15-20% jump in price. Many shops are now charging 50 cents more per cup, with some warning that further increases are “almost a guarantee” if tariffs remain.

For coffee farmers, the stakes are even higher. “Small-scale coffee farmers are living on the frontline of the climate crisis, despite having contributed little to the problem of global warming,” says Patrick Watt of Christian Aid. As yields drop and costs rise, many farmers face devastating losses, threatening the future of coffee itself.

Ultimately, the double hit of climate change and tariffs means higher prices, fewer choices, and a more uncertain future for your favorite brew. As Colón puts it, “It is tough on our end because it drives the price up, tough on the consumer end because they have to pay more and tough on the farmers’ end because they may be experiencing really significant losses”. If ever there was a time to savor your cup-and support sustainable, transparent coffee-it’s now.